Upset Watch
World Cup 2026 upset alerts
Fixtures where the underdog has a real chance — ranked by upset probability.
Ghana vs Panama 34% upset
Group L · Wed, Jun 17 · 11:00 PM UTC
Australia vs Turkey 33% upset
Group D · Sun, Jun 14 · 4:00 AM UTC
Czech Republic vs South Africa 32% upset
Group A · Thu, Jun 18 · 4:00 PM UTC
Ivory Coast vs Ecuador 31% upset
Group E · Sun, Jun 14 · 11:00 PM UTC
Sweden vs Tunisia 31% upset
Group F · Mon, Jun 15 · 2:00 AM UTC
Turkey vs Paraguay 31% upset
Group D · Sat, Jun 20 · 3:00 AM UTC
Iraq vs Norway 31% upset
Group I · Tue, Jun 16 · 10:00 PM UTC
South Korea vs Czech Republic 31% upset
Group A · Fri, Jun 12 · 2:00 AM UTC
Brazil vs Morocco 30% upset
Group C · Sat, Jun 13 · 10:00 PM UTC
Belgium vs Iran 29% upset
Group G · Sun, Jun 21 · 7:00 PM UTC
Netherlands vs Japan 29% upset
Group F · Sun, Jun 14 · 8:00 PM UTC
England vs Croatia 29% upset
Group L · Wed, Jun 17 · 8:00 PM UTC
Get the World Cup 2026 brief
One email, a few times a week: the narratives, predictions, and tactical angles worth your time — before they're everywhere else.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.