Why — the key factors
- FIFA ranking
Czech Republic 1500 vs South Africa 1445 +0.19 xG
Each factor is a contribution to expected-goal supremacy (positive favours Czech Republic). Expected goals: Czech Republic 1.4, South Africa 1.2. Model confidence 41%.
The takeaway
Czech Republic hold the edge, but tournament football turns on fine margins. Watch the opening 20 minutes for whether Czech Republic impose control or South Africa can frustrate them.