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Group A · World Cup 2026

South KoreavsCzech Republic

Fri, Jun 12 · 2:00 AM UTC · Guadalajara (Zapopan)

⚠ 31% upset probability

Verdict: South Korea are favoured at 43%.

Most likely scoreline: 1–1

South Korea43%
Draw26%
Czech Republic31%

Each factor is a contribution to expected-goal supremacy (positive favours South Korea). Expected goals: South Korea 1.43, Czech Republic 1.17. Model confidence 43%.

South Korea hold the edge, but tournament football turns on fine margins. Watch the opening 20 minutes for whether South Korea impose control or Czech Republic can frustrate them.

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