Why — the key factors
- FIFA ranking
Australia 1517 vs Turkey 1560 -0.15 xG
Each factor is a contribution to expected-goal supremacy (positive favours Australia). Expected goals: Australia 1.22, Turkey 1.38. Model confidence 40%.
The takeaway
Turkey hold the edge, but tournament football turns on fine margins. Watch the opening 20 minutes for whether Turkey impose control or Australia can frustrate them.