Why — the key factors
- FIFA ranking
Ghana 1399 vs Panama 1430 -0.11 xG
Each factor is a contribution to expected-goal supremacy (positive favours Ghana). Expected goals: Ghana 1.25, Panama 1.35. Model confidence 39%.
The takeaway
Panama hold the edge, but tournament football turns on fine margins. Watch the opening 20 minutes for whether Panama impose control or Ghana can frustrate them.