Why — the key factors
- FIFA ranking
Uruguay 1678 vs Cape Verde 1390 +1.01 xG
Each factor is a contribution to expected-goal supremacy (positive favours Uruguay). Expected goals: Uruguay 1.8, Cape Verde 0.8. Model confidence 61%.
The takeaway
Uruguay hold the edge, but tournament football turns on fine margins. Watch the opening 20 minutes for whether Uruguay impose control or Cape Verde can frustrate them.