Why — the key factors
- FIFA ranking
Scotland 1500 vs Morocco 1694 -0.68 xG
Each factor is a contribution to expected-goal supremacy (positive favours Scotland). Expected goals: Scotland 0.96, Morocco 1.64. Model confidence 53%.
The takeaway
Morocco hold the edge, but tournament football turns on fine margins. Watch the opening 20 minutes for whether Morocco impose control or Scotland can frustrate them.