Why — the key factors
- FIFA ranking
Germany 1716 vs Ivory Coast 1487 +0.80 xG
Each factor is a contribution to expected-goal supremacy (positive favours Germany). Expected goals: Germany 1.7, Ivory Coast 0.9. Model confidence 56%.
The takeaway
Germany hold the edge, but tournament football turns on fine margins. Watch the opening 20 minutes for whether Germany impose control or Ivory Coast can frustrate them.