Why — the key factors
- FIFA ranking
Brazil 1776 vs Haiti 1320 +1.60 xG
Each factor is a contribution to expected-goal supremacy (positive favours Brazil). Expected goals: Brazil 2.1, Haiti 0.5. Model confidence 75%.
The takeaway
Brazil hold the edge, but tournament football turns on fine margins. Watch the opening 20 minutes for whether Brazil impose control or Haiti can frustrate them.