Why — the key factors
- FIFA ranking
Argentina 1886 vs Algeria 1507 +1.33 xG
Each factor is a contribution to expected-goal supremacy (positive favours Argentina). Expected goals: Argentina 1.96, Algeria 0.64. Model confidence 69%.
The takeaway
Argentina hold the edge, but tournament football turns on fine margins. Watch the opening 20 minutes for whether Argentina impose control or Algeria can frustrate them.